10 Things to Carry Over from Week 1 into Week 2
September 18, 2010 by Tony Andracki
Filed under Featured, Football
Week 1 was a crazy week for all of you fantasy fans and owners out there. Who really expected Arian Foster to be the top scorer? Who really thought Adrian Peterson would be the 95th best ranked player in most formats? Or that Hakeem Nicks would score three touchdowns?
Probably not anybody. It was, as I said, a crazy Week 1. But, it was just that—the first week. So:
1. Temper your expectations.
It was just one week. OK, so Adrian Peterson didn’t have a great week and maybe you drafted him first overall, but it’s not like he had a bad game. He still racked up 87 rushing yards and 19 receiving. On the other end of the spectrum, don’t go all gung ho about Mark Clayton like he’s the best thing since sliced Cinnabons because he had 10 receptions for 119 yards. This is the same Mark Clayton that couldn’t hack it with the Baltimore Ravens. Sam Bradford had the most passing attempts for a rookie making his NFL debut, so his production—and subsequently Clayton’s production—will undoubtedly come back down.
Bottom line: it was one week. Don’t get your panties in a bunch because your first round pick isn’t panning out just yet or because you lost your first week by 64 points, which did not happen to me the first week…OK, maybe it did in one of my leagues. And if you happened to have a great week, don’t get too cocky. What goes up must come down, remember that. It doesn’t just apply to ballons.
2. Pick Up Brandon Jackson, Drop Ryan Grant.
Maybe this one is a no-brainer. Alright, it for sure is a no-brainer. But I called it from Day One—Ryan Grant is not going to have a good 2010 season. (Obviously not now because he’s not going to play again this year, but I just don’t think he’s that good. Period.) Some critics have even gone so far as to say that Jackson is better than Grant. I don’t necessarily know about that, as there’s no proof of it just yet, but I think Jackson could be at least as good as Grant in the Green Bay Packers’ offense. Defenses will have to respect Aaron Rodgers and all his weapons (no linebacker in the league short of Patrick Willis has enough athletic ability to cover Jermichael Finley one-on-one), so Jackson will have room to run. The downside: Green Bay’s line isn’t the best run-blocking unit in the league, but Jackson should be good for 1,300 total yards and 7 or so touchdowns the rest of the way. He’s a decent receiving threat out of the backfield, so that will help his overall production.
3. 2010 just might finally be Darren McFadden’s year
Seriously. He totaled 150 yards from scrimmage in Week 1 in Michael Bush’s absence, even though the Oakland Raiders were down big early and ended up losing by 25 points. He was targeted 9 times in the passing game, most on Oakland, and averaged 5.3 yards a pop on the ground against a pretty decent Tennesse Titans defense. That’s the third-highest average for a game in his career and one heck of a way to start out the 2010 season. He’s still just 23 and all of the hype surrounding him is gone, so maybe he can just go out and play and finally fulfill that potential now. Jason Campbell will keep defenses more honest than JaMarcus Russell did the past two years, Justin Fargas is gone and Michael Bush is battling a hand injury, so 2010 is the best shot McFadden will ever get for the rest of his career.
4. The Chicago Bears’ offense looks good this year.
Jay Cutler finished 11th and Matt Forte finished 2nd in the NFL in standard scoring leagues after the first week. Yes, it was against the lowly Detroit Lions, but these aren’t the same lowly Detroit Lions as in years past and the Bears only put up 19 points. It is just one week, but Mike Martz’ offensive scheme seems to be benefitting Cutler’s fantasy stats and he looks more confident and mature throughout the preseason and Week 1 than he did last year, so I really don’t see him throwing another 26 interceptions again. It’s possible, sure, but I’m not buying it. Forte is more explosive and both players should have a great 2010 season.
5. Mike Sims-Walker is not fantasy starter material right now.
On some fantasy teams, Sims-Walker is being relied upon to be the No. 2 fantasy receiver, and in most cases, owners grabbed him with the intention of starting him each week. But, after a terrible showing in Week 1 (a big fat goose egg, garnering only 2 targets), Sims-Walker needs to re-gain fantasy owners’ trust. Mike Thomas had 6 catches for 89 yards on his 7 targets for the Jags against the Broncos in Week 1 and Marcedes Lewis and Kassim Osgood caught three combined touchdown passes. The scariest thing is, Garrard threw 3 touchdown passes, but has thrown for just 15 scores the past two years, and has a career high of just 18. That means, that, best case scenario, Garrard has only 12-15 touchdowns left to throw this year, and how many can Sims-Walker even pull in? This is Maurice Jones-Drew’s offense and he will demand the most touches, attention and scores. Sims-Walker is an after-thought, at least until he can prove that he can be productive week-in and week-out. Until then, stash him on your bench, he doesn’t deserve a starting spot.
6. Jamaal Charles will still be the top Kansas City Chiefs’ fantasy option, despite Thomas Jones.
Talent always wins out. And in KC, despite the Chiefs’ signing of Jones in the offseason, Charles will be a No. 2 running back at the very least for this season. They both received 11 carries on Monday night, but Charles gained 53 more yards, though he was largely aided by a long 56-yard run. He’s explosive and can break off a long run on every play. Jones may take more of the goal-line carries and a fully healthy Dexter McCluster will also take more touches, but Charles will ultimately end up as a low No. 1 RB or a high No. 2 RB for the rest of the season.
7. Steve Smith down in New York? Not so fast…
Last year’s breakthrough sensation in the WR pool was this year’s popular choice as the newest No. 1 receiver in town. But, after watching Hakeem Nicks haul in 3 touchdown passes and Mario Manningham total 84 yards, Smith looked like the odd man out in the Meadowlands. But, don’t fret just yet. Carolina is still a decent defense with some pretty good secondary players and Smith was still targeted 8 times, tied with Nicks for most on the team. He’ll come back around. No worries here.
8. It’s still Robin’s show in Cincy.
Despite both Batman (Terrell Owens) and Robin (Chad Ochocinco) each getting 13 targets against the New England Patriots on Sunday, Robin made the most of his opportunities (12 receptions for 159 yards and a score, a 13.3 yards per catch average). Owens, however, had just 7 catches for 53 yards, a 7.6 average. His boasting has finally caught up to him. It’s still Robin’s show in Cincinnati. Carson Palmer thinks so, and that’s all that really matters. Things could start looking bad for T.O. in Ohio.
9. Anthony Gonzalez is out in Indy.
Peyton Manning attempted 57 passes Sunday. That’s a lot, even for him. Yet, only 3 of those passes went Anthony Gonzalez’s way. Austin Collie, however, filled in admirably in the slot with 12 targets, 11 receptions, 163 yards and a score. Reggie Wayne (10 targets), Pierre Garcon (10 targets) and Dallas Clark (13 targets) are all also ahead of Gonzalez in the pecking order in Indy. Even Joseph Addai had 6 targets. Gonzalez is out. Collie is officially in.
10. Tony Romo will be just fine this year, at least in fantasy circles.
Everybody is freaking out because Romo and the Dallas Cowboys put up just 7 points against the Washington Redskins on Sunday night, but never fear, Romo still managed to finagle 15 fantasy points, despite what will likely be the worst game of the season for his offense. Alex Barron was just atrocious at right tackle (as if you haven’t already heard) and Marc Colombo is returning, so the line should get an immediate upgrade and give Romo more time. He still has Miles Austin (who proved he was no fluke last year with a 10-catch, 146-yard, 1-touchdown game), Dez Bryant (whom he targeted 12 times), Jason Witten and Roy Williams to throw downfield to and Marion Barber and Felix Jones to check it down to. He’ll be just fine this year, so long as he stops making boneheaded plays (at least that fumble goes on Tashard Choice’s stats) and stays upright (the Dallas line looked really, really bad on Sunday, though most of that was Barron’s fault).