2014 Fantasy Football: 5 Reasons Not To Draft RB Andre Ellington

The Cards have a brutal schedule that includes six divisional games against the 49ers, Seahawks, and Rams. All three were ranked within the top-10 run defenses in the game last season and the star-studded units will keep Ellington in check several for a majority of the fantasy season.

Most think Ellington will walk into a 300-touch season, but I see him receiving more like 250 carries in 2014. The team will likely be very careful with Ellington this season and he will be spelled often by Stepfan Taylor and Jon Dwyer.

There has been a ton of attention on the fact that Ellington has gained 10 pounds of muscle, but it still remains to be seen if he will actually take over around the goal line. Dwyer is a stout 229 pounds and the former Georgia Tech star could end up stealing red zone duty away from Ellington in the long run.

Ellington has yet to prove that he can be a reliable weekly fantasy back. He is currently being drafted as a RB2 in most formats, and to me, that is simply too high for a back with 230 career carries.

Ellington has been featured on every single sleeper list this offseason, but like most sleepers, he has yet to prove his actual worth. He has an average ADP of 48.3 and the back is being grabbed ahead of many more reliable veterans. Don't get carried away with the offseason hype.