The Chicago Cubs have enjoyed an historical run from starting pitcher Jake Arrieta, and it will soon be time to reward him with an obscene amount of money.
The reigning Cy Young recipient has posted numbers over his last 27 starts that you’d expect to see only from his likeness in the video game MLB: The Show. The Cubs’ ace boasts an extraordinary 0.92 ERA in that span and the team has won his last 20 starts.
Baseball is a unique sport in which you can never pencil in a win no matter who you’re playing or who you have on the mound. Every player is bound to have a few bad games in a 162-game season. Arrieta is doing his best to refute that claim. He’s only lost one game since last June, and it just happened to be Cole Hamels‘ no-hitter on July 25 — Hamels’ last start for the Philadelphia Phillies.
Arrieta has two no-hitters of his own during this run of near-perfection. He was Chicago’s clear choice to start in last year’s Wild Card win over the Pittsburgh Pirates, and he guided them to an NLCS appearance — their first since the infamous 2003 series against the then-Florida Marlins.
The 30-year-old has a pedestrian 3.55 career ERA, which may call into question his actual worth. But considering The Washington Nationals just rewarded Stephen Strasburg with a seven-year, $175 million deal, Arrieta’s accomplishments over the past 11 months certainly warrant a significant raise. It’s worth noting that Strasburg has never posted a sub-3.00 ERA over a full season and didn’t pitch in a major league game for nearly two years following Tommy John surgery.
It’s anyone’s guess how Arrieta turned the corner so quickly, but we’ve certainly never seen pitching dominance to this extent. If Chicago wants to retain Arrieta for the long haul, they’ll have to start writing much bigger checks. That means no hometown discount. Arrieta believes he’s worth more than Strasburg, and there are probably a few teams that would agree. He’s also represented by Scott Boras, who will get him every possible penny.
Arrieta’s current deal will pay him $10.7 million in 2016. If he gets what he wants, he could be making north of $25 million in 2017.